Contrary to the so-called “consensus,” the planet’s climate is not warming, says David Archibald, an Australian scientist and visiting fellow at the The Institute of World Politics (IWP) in Washington, D.C.
“The temperature of the planet is the same as it was 30 years ago,” said Archibald. “The IPCC models have failed.”
While temperatures have increased less than one degree Celsius (yes, less than 1 degree) in the last 150 years, that rise is unremarkable compared to previous increases in earth’s history, said Archibald on Wednesday. That rise came about because “the Sun was more active in the second half of the 20th century than it had been in the previous 8,000 years.”
Even with the higher solar activity, that small amount of warming is nothing new.
Temperature spikes have occurred for hundreds of thousands of years and were slightly higher in the Roman Empire and Medieval periods, according to a Swedish study and data from ice cores in Vostok, Antarctica, said Archibald.
In fact, it has been warmer than today for MOST of the past 10,000 years, says Dr. Don Easterbrook, Professor of Geology at Western Washington University.
Now, solar activity suggests that global temperatures will fall 2 to 3 degrees Celsius by 2040, said Archibald. “And sometimes severe cooling comes out of the blue.”
That could wreak havoc on the world’s food supply by potentially reducing global grain production by 400 million tonnes—mirroring the skyrocketing crop costs and 200,000 European deaths sparked by the 1816 eruption of Mt. Tambora in Indonesia.
See slides from Archibald’s presentation here.
Archibald, who is credited as the first scientist to develop a method for using solar sunspot cycles to predict temperatures, also predicts that “sea level will start falling again.”
Where will that moisture go? It will start accumulating on land as ice, just as I have been predicting.
CRATER LAKE — Crater Lake received a record-smashing 8 inches of snow in 24 hours Tuesday into Wednesday, the National Weather Service reported.
More than one month ahead of schedule, the frosty blanket made its earliest appearance since 1986, when snow fell a week earlier on Sept. 18. Before that, the earliest appearance of a winter wonderland at Crater Lake was Sept. 24, 1948.
"It looks like there were sharply higher values of snowfall above 6,000 feet," said meteorologist Shad Keene. "Crater Lake tends to get the brunt of all the precipitation, so the chance of them exceeding a forecast is higher than in most places. It'll really come down."
At elevations 6,000 feet and below, there was anywhere from 1 to 3 inches.
"The higher elevations definitely got more than we expected," Keene said.
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