Ebola and exponential growth - 500,000 + cases by some time in January

Source: Dr. Jody Lanard, who along with her husband Peter Sandman are considered among the most authoritative in the world on the subject of risk communications, posted a very helpful brief look at the power of exponential growth on her Facebook page

Coston on Lanard on Ebola and exponential growth - 500,000 + cases by some time in January. HT: Crof.

On his blog Avian Flu Diary, Mike Coston has posted Lanard: In Anticipation Of Scoffing & Debate About CDC Ebola Numbers. Excerpt:

Later today the CDC will officially unveil their estimates on the potential growth of the Ebola epidemic over the next four months if effective actions aren’t taken - and if it matches the leaked numbers published over the weekend in the Washington Post - it will run somewhere around 500,0000 cases.   

For some, seeing that it took 6 months to reach the first 6,000 cases, jumping to a half million over the next four months may seem unrealistic.   

Overnight Dr. Jody Lanard, who along with her husband Peter Sandman are considered among the most authoritative in the world on the subject of risk communications, posted a very helpful brief look at the power of exponential growth  on her Facebook page that I’ve lifted (with her permission).

Click through to see her comments and Mike's very useful discussion.

Related: Fresh graves point to undercount of Ebola toll.