Friday, October 17, 2014

Ebola: Is a 21-day quarantine period long enough?


Ebola: Is a 21-day quarantine period long enough? HT: Crof.

 Via PLOS Currents OutbreaksOn the Quarantine Period for Ebola Virus. The abstract:
Background: 
21 days has been regarded as the appropriate quarantine period for holding individuals potentially exposed to Ebola Virus (EV) to reduce risk of contagion. There does not appear to be a systematic discussion of the basis for this period. 
Methods: 
The prior estimates for incubation time to EV were examined, along with data on the first 9 months of the current outbreak. These provided estimates of the distribution of incubation times. 
Results: 

A 21 day period for quarantine may result in the release of individuals with a 0.2 – 12% risk of release prior to full opportunity for the incubation to proceed. It is suggested that a detailed cost-benefit assessment, including considering full transmission risks, needs to occur in order to determine the appropriate quarantine period for potentially exposed individuals.

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