Showing posts with label solar minimum. Show all posts
Showing posts with label solar minimum. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

Video - Global warming being blasted away by lowest solar activity in four centuries?




We appear to be headed for conditions similar to the Maunder Minimum, says this video from Suspicious0bservers. This low in solar activity comes after what was likely the highest solar activity in the last 3,000 years. HT: NewIceAge.

Here are a few observations from the video:

The primary concern is famine.

In the 1630s, two million people died due to famine in India. At about the same time, huge portions of Europe developed famines, including Poland, Ireland, England, France. In the early 1660s, India went two years without a single drop of rain. In 1680, famine killed 80,000 people in Sardinia. A famine in the 1690s killed 15 percent of the Scottish population. Two million dead in France during that same period. During the same decade, more than 100,000 peopole died in Sweden and Estonia. At the turn of the century, two million more people died of famine in India. Just a few years later, Eastern Prussia lost 40 percent of its population to famine. Look at the chart in this video to see how quickly the climate changed. We are currently experiencing changes even faster than those.

The harsh winters like 2010 in Europe, or 2013 in North America, will become more prevalent, the video continues.

This brings up some important questions.

How long before travel and commerce are interrupted? How long before agriculture suffers like it did 400 years ago? How long before the plagues and disease that come with famine rise again?

“If Toronto’s Pearson International Airport weather station doesn’t hit 30.0ºC before the end of August — and it’s not looking like it will — this will be the first consecutive July and August that Pearson has not hit 30.0ºC+ since records began at Pearson in 1938 — that’s 76 years of data,” says Weather Network meteorologist Dayna Vettese.

Hmmmm....On a personal note , for the last 24 months temp where i live have been about 4-5 degrees BELOW normal average, so much for global warming..... Google the term 'De Vries cycle'.

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Chinese Study - Has solar activity influence on the Earth’s global warming?


SCIENCE: Has solar activity influence on the Earth’s global warming? (Beacon).

A recent study demonstrates the existence of significant resonance cycles and high correlations between solar activity and the Earth’s averaged surface temperature during centuries.

by Staff Writers of Terra Daily

Copyright 1995-2014 – Space Media Network
published on Tarra Daily 9 June 2014
republished here under the term of Fair Use

Image:
This shows comparisons between the 11-year running averaged Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) and the temperature (T) anomalies of the Earth (global, land, ocean). Image courtesy Science China Press. For a larger version of this image please go here.

A recent study demonstrates the existence of significant resonance cycles and high correlations between solar activity and the Earth’s averaged surface temperature during centuries. This provides a new clue to reveal the phenomenon of global warming in recent years.

Their work, entitled “Periodicities of solar activity and the surface temperature variation of the Earth and their correlations” was published in CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN (In Chinese) 2014 No.14 with the co-corresponding authors of Dr. Zhao Xinhua and Dr.

Feng Xueshang from State key laboratory of space weather, CSSAR/NSSC, Chinese Academy of Sciences. It adopts the wavelet analysis technique and cross correlation method to investigate the periodicities of solar activity and the Earth’s temperature as well as their correlations during the past centuries.

Global warming is one of the hottest and most debatable issues at present. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) claimed that the release of the anthropogenic greenhouse gases contributed to 90% or even higher of the observed increase in the global average temperature in the past 50 years. However, the debate on the causes of the global warming never stops.

Research shows that the current warming does not exceed the natural fluctuations of climate. The climate models of IPCC seem to underestimate the impact of natural factors on the climate change, while overstate that of human activities. Solar activity is an important ingredient of natural driving forces of climate. Therefore, it is valuable to investigate the influence of solar variability on the Earth’s climate change on long time scales.

This innovative study combines the measured data with those reconstructed to disclose the periodicities of solar activity during centuries and their correlations with the Earth’s temperature.

The obtained results demonstrate that solar activity and the Earth’s temperature have significant resonance cycles, and the Earth’s temperature has periodic variations similar to those of solar activity.

This study also implies that the “modern maximum” of solar activity agrees well with the recent global warming of the Earth. A significant correlation between them can be found.

As pointed out by a peer reviewer, “this work provides a possible explanation for the global warming”.




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Source.

Saturday, February 1, 2014

Prince of Wales hits out at climate change deniers… labelling them the ‘headless chicken brigade’

Source : Mike the 'Headless Chicken'

Prince of Wales hits out at climate change deniers… labeling them the ‘headless chicken brigade’.(DailyMail). By REBECCA ENGLISH

  • Prince Charles spoke out over ‘sheer intimidation’ of anti-climate change groups
  • Said they turn scientific wisdom on its head to suit their own purposes
  • Was speaking at an event for young entrepreneurs at Buckingham Palace
Inflammatory: Charles said climate change denies use ‘intimidation’ to get their point across
Climate change deniers are headless chickens, Prince Charles has claimed.

In an inflammatory speech, the heir to the throne spoke out against ‘the barrage of sheer intimidation’ from what he described as powerful interest groups.

Addressing young environmental entrepreneurs at Buckingham Palace, he said skeptics were turning accepted scientific wisdom on its head.

He said: ‘It is baffling that in our modern world we have such blind trust in science and technology that we all accept what science tells us about everything – until, that is, it comes to climate science. All of a sudden, and with a barrage of sheer intimidation, we are told by powerful groups of deniers that the scientists are wrong and we must abandon all our faith in so much overwhelming scientific evidence.

‘So, thank goodness for our young entrepreneurs here, who have the far-sightedness and confidence in what they know is happening to ignore the headless chicken brigade and do something practical to help.’

Charles was announcing the winner of a sustainability prize designed to inspire young people to tackle environmental, social and health issues.Read the full story here. More from WattsUpWithThat.

Saturday, January 18, 2014

The New Ice-age - 'Global warming reversing because Sun is going to sleep?'



Very important admission from the BBC. “Periods of unusual ‘solar lull’ coincide with bitterly cold winters.”
“Scientists are saying that the Sun is in a phase of ‘solar lull’ – meaning that it has fallen asleep – and it is baffling them.

Following are excerpts from the video:
“Something is happening to the solar activity on the surface of the sun: It’s declining…fast.Whatever measurement you use, it’s coming down. Solar peaks are coming down.
“Richard Harrison is head of space physics at the Rutherford-Appleton  laboratory in Oxfordshire. He says the rate at which solar activity is falling mirrors a period in the 17th century where sunspots virtually disappeared.

  • “The Maunder Minimum of course was period when we saw almost no sunspots for decades, and it was a really dramatic period when we saw really cold winters in the northern hemisphere, where you had a kind of a mini-ice age.
  • “Rivers and canals froze across northern Europe….It wasn’t just the Thames that froze over. The Baltic Sea did too.
  • “Crop failures and famines were widespread across northern Europe.

“The sun does seem to be in a similar phase at it was during the run up to the Maunder Minimum,” says Lucy Green, at the Moloff Space Science Laboratory in the North Downs.

Professor Mike Lockwood says this is the fastest decline in solar activity in 10,000 years.

“There’s a 20 percent probability that we could be back in Maunder conditions within 40 years,” says Lockwood.

Less solar activity seems to affect the behavior of the jet stream, says Lockwood. This ends up blocking warm air from reaching northern Europe, causing long, cold winters.

“Right now we’re at a peak of a solar cycle … but this solar cycle is eerily quiet.
“The number of sunspots is a fraction of what scientists expected.
“History suggests that periods of unusual ‘solar lull’ coincide with bitterly cold winters.
 the video ends with a nod to global warming.
Of course.
“On the one hand you’ve got, perhaps, a cooling sun, but on the other had you’ve got human activity that can counter that.”
“So even if the planet as a whole continues to warm, if we enter a Maunder Minimum the future for northern Europe could be cold and frozen winters for decades to come.”Hmmmm.....Just imagine the truth if they're willing to admit this much.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25771510



Sunday, November 24, 2013

The Sun now has two south poles! No need to worry i'm sure an Executive order is on it's way.

Source.

The Sun now has two south poles! No need to worry i'm sure an Executive order is on it's way.HT: IceAgeNow.

Solar activity is stranger than in a century or more, say solar scientists, with the sun producing barely half the number of sunspots as expected and its magnetic poles oddly out of sync.

Normally, the sun’s magnetic north and south poles change polarity about every 11 years. During the reversal, the sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, drop to zero, then re-emerge with the opposite polarity.
But in this cycle, the sun’s magnetic poles are out of sync. The sun’s north magnetic pole reversed polarity more than a year ago, giving it the same polarity as the south pole.

“The delay between the two reversals is unusually long,” said solar physicist Karel Schrijver at the Lockheed Martin Advanced Technology Center in Palo Alto, Calif.

The polar reversal takes place as the Sun’s magnetic field moves north or south from the equator, eroding the existing pole as it does, explains Todd Hoeksema, a scientist at Stanford University’s Wilcox Solar Observatory.

Phil Scherrer, who works with Mr Hoeksema, said: “The north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up.

It looks like a complete field reversal could be “no more than three to four months away,” said Mr Hoeksema in early August.

The flip could send “ripple effects” throughout the solar system, causing geomagnetic storms, which, in turn, can cause radio blackouts and interfere with satellites.
Here’s the scoop
Here’s the scoop, says Dr. E. Kirsten Peters:
The sun has two big cycles of change. First, the number of sunspots – dark regions on the surface of the sun – wax and wane over time. That’s something you may have once learned in science class. But another cycle that’s less well known is that the magnetic poles of the sun swap places, north to south. Both of these changes occur on a cycle of about 11 years.
I recently talked about the sun to Dr. Michael Allen, a colleague of mine in the Department of Physics and Astronomy at Washington State University. Allen explained to me that the sun’s magnetic field is in the process of decaying to zero. In the coming weeks it will reorganize itself with north and south poles fully reversed.
What was the north pole of the sun has actually already become a south pole. That means that at the moment the sun has two south poles.
That configuration “will likely change soon and the poles will be fully reversed,” says Allen.
The changes the sun is going through mean the sun is producing more cosmic rays. That translates into more impressive shows of the Northern Lights (Aurora Borealis) which you may see lighting up portions of the night sky on clear nights.
Dr. E. Kirsten Peters was trained as a geologist at Princeton and Harvard. Her column is a service of the College of Agricultural, Human and Natural Resource Sciences at Washington State University.Hmmm.....Better stock up on those Winter Woolies
http://highlandstoday.com/list/highlands-agri-leader-news/suns-shifting-magnetic-poles-brings-more-cosmic-rays-20130925/

http://news.sky.com/story/1169107/sun-set-to-flip-upside-down-within-weeks


http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304672404579183940409194498


Friday, September 13, 2013

Better Get your long johns! Is another ice age imminent?

Fig. Observed temperatures in the Arctic (latitude above 80° N) by day of the year in 2013 (red line), the long-term average (green line) and the freezing temperature (blue line); temperatures in degree Kelvin (K); source: Danish Meteorological Institute.

Better Get your long johns! Is another ice age imminent?HT: IceAgeNow.By Dr. Klaus L.E. Kaiser.

No doubt about it. The Earth’s climate is cooling!
One of the most prescient indicators clearly shows it, namely the Danish Meteorological Institute’s daily mean temperatures for the Arctic area north of the 80th northern parallel. They have been measured for over 50 years which shows a long-term average of 90 days with the air temperature above freezing.

The Year 2013


The year 2013 has seen a dramatic departure from that routine. In 2013, the summer (above freezing temperatures) lasted for only 45 days, one half of the average number of days. Not only did the frost-free days start much later than on average this year, they also ended much earlier, see the figure above. In fact, the frost-free period seen this year was significantly shorter than in other year since 1958, when the recordings began.
The new data corroborate other findings of no global warming for the last 18 years. In fact, not a single of the 20-plus climate prediction models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) even shows the recent temperature developments as within their model uncertainties. It begs the question: Is another ice age imminent?

Climate at the Poles

The climate at the earth’s poles is quite different from that at mid-latitudes or near the equator. To begin with, at the poles, the lengths of day and night vary with the seasons. At the earth’s equator, day and night periods are ALWAYS equal, 12 hours exactly. In contrast, near the poles, day and night periods vary from 24-hour sunshine in summer to 24-hour darkness in the depth of winter.

The Arctic winter temperatures average around MINUS 30 °C (MINUS 35 °F) but it can get much colder than that. If nature so wants it, that kind of cold weather can slide down to cover half of the North American continent; even in Minnesota, winter temperatures can reach MINUS 60 °F!

The Arctic summer period extends from mid-June to mid-September. Above the Arctic Circle (latitude 66° N) summer days are longer than the nights and vice versa in winter. At even higher latitude, above 80° N, there is 24-hour sunshine for a few weeks around summer and total darkness at winter solstice. Needless to say, any visitors to such areas prefer to come in mid-summer.

Old Man Frost

Old Man Frost also known as “Father Frost” is a fictional character in Russian folklore, reminiscent of Santa Claus. Though fictional, the character provides the quintessential basis for understanding the country’s psyche: Much of the landscape is frozen for a long time each year. The brief summer periods do not change that fact and various armies’ intent on conquering the land have learned such with great pain and defeat.
Permafrost (defined as soil at or below the freezing point of water for two or more years) covers much of Russia’s tundra and taiga regions, just like on this continent. Even today, well preserved woolly mammoth bodies are found in Siberia from time to time—thanks to permafrost. These relatives of modern day elephants died out approximately 4,500 years ago. You may think of the area as a giant freezer—entirely natural.

Ice Ages

The world has experienced a number of “ice ages.” Those were times when large parts of the North American and Eurasian continents were covered by a thick layer of ice, mostly one to two miles high. All that ice melted and began to disappear 20,000 years ago. By about 5,000 years ago, the ice was mostly gone and, since then, we are enjoying an “interglacial period.” Such interglacial periods of “global warming” (also known as “climate change”) had nothing to do with changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels. If there is any credible correlation at all, it shows the rise of CO2 levels lagging the rise in temperatures by 1,000 years or so.

All indications are that in the past such interglacial periods have ended quite suddenly; on a geological time scale “overnight.” As Robert W. Felix describes eloquently in his book Not by Fire but by Ice, massive snowfalls entrapped and killed the mammoths and everything else around them. There was no route of escape.

The question now is solely “when, not if” the current interglacial period will come to a sudden end. Nature had an earlier attempt at it when, in the mid-1600’s, the world experienced a cold spell lasting some 60 years which is now commonly known as the medieval “Little Ice Age.” That period coincided with the “Maunder Minimum,” an unusual low number of sunspots through several sunspot cycles. Guess what? Current predictions are once again for several decades of low counts of sunspots.

Though the sunspots are affecting the radiation received from the sun, they are not the only thing affecting our climate. Much closer to home, there are thousands of volcanos and volcanic vents spewing volcanic ash and gases into the atmosphere.

Volcanic Ash & Gas

Massive volcanic eruptions on earth have had severe consequences in the earth’s past, none good. Apart from the areas in the immediate vicinity which were incinerated and buried by lava flows, forceful eruptions can blast large amounts of ash high up into the atmosphere. It can stay aloft for many months and reduces the amount of sunshine received at the surface. Such events happened repeatedly in recorded history and are also known from geological records. Ian Plimer, in his book Heaven and Earth describes it well in the chapter One volcano can ruin your day.

While massive eruptions are rare, there are active volcanoes and thousands of vents all along the earth’s 40,000+ miles of tectonic rifts. Nearly all volcanoes are constantly emitting gas with carbon dioxide making up the bulk of it, but it is not the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere which determines the climate. If carbon dioxide has any effect on the climate at all, it provides a moderating and cooling effect, not a warm blanket effect. The widely claimed “greenhouse gas” theory is bunk.

End of the Interglacial?

The question as to the end of the current interglacial period has been asked repeatedly. The short answer is: Nobody knows when it will come about. It could happen tomorrow, or a thousand or more years from now.
Given the time horizons of the earth’s age (currently estimated at 4,500,000,000 years) and geological time frames in general, a period of 1,000 years does not even count as a “rounding error.”

Politicians’ Talk

Despite all the evidence to the contrary, many politicians still ride the “global warming” bandwagon. Presidents, prime ministers, chancellors and other world leaders still claim that the earth is in a run-away warming phase and push their anti-carbon dioxide alternative energy schemes. In reality though, the earth’s climate is largely controlled by solar radiation, volcanism on earth, and the hydrological cycling of water between solid, liquid and vapor states.

From the actual temperature observations to the ice extent in the Arctic and Antarctic and to the sunspot cycles, they all point into the opposite direction. How long will it take for the politicians and bureaucrats to wake up?
You may not have time to wait for that. Better get your woollies now.

blockquote>Dr. Klaus L.E. Kaiser has authored nearly 200 publications in scientific journals, government and national and international agency reports, books, trade magazines, and newspapers. He has been president of the Intl. Association for Great Lakes Research, and is a recipient of the Intl. QSAR Award. He is currently Director of Research of TerraBase Inc., and is a Fellow of the Chemical Institute of Canada.

Dr. Kaiser is author of CONVENIENT MYTHS, the green revolution – perceptions, politics, and facts, and is widely recognized for his expertise in environmental chemistry and his “no-nonsense” approach to issues.
www.convenientmyths.com

Dr. Kaiser can be reached at: mail@convenientmyths.com


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