Showing posts with label Kurdish oil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kurdish oil. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Does the Turkey-Russia-Iran deal mean the end of the Kurdish independence dream?


Does the Turkey-Russia-Iran deal mean the end of the Kurdish independence dream? (Rudaw).

Russian President Vladimir Putin was one of the first world leaders to call his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan only hours after the July failed coup attempt, expressing his full support for Ankara and his government. That phone call became the basis for a new understanding. On his visit to Moscow this month, Erdogan explicitly told Putin that his phone call on the night of the coup provided a psychological boost for him.

  An understanding on resolving the Middle East crises, especially in Iraq and Syria, is fast coming into being among Turkey, Qatar, Russia and Iran. Saudi Arabia and the United States will not play a main acting role in this scene.  With regard to the US, the Obama administration seems intent on keeping out.

With built-up grievance and criticism against the West, Erdogan traveled to Moscow with a high-level delegation, where he had a day-long meeting with Putin and Russian officials.  There, it was decided that ties should return to where they were before they were soured by the shooting of a Russian fighter jet over Turkey, and that every aspect of relations should be better than ever before.

Soon after this Moscow visit, Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammed Javad Zarif arrived in Ankara, where he and his Turkish counterpart Mevlut Cavusoglu warmly embraced more than once and were all talk of a new understanding between the two countries. According to Cavusoglu, most of the calls on the night of the coup were made to Zarif.

A day after Zarif’s visit, Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim invited his country’s media for a conference where he told them: “If you see significant changes in the coming months in Syria, don’t be shocked and be prepared!”

Turkey feels it is imperative to find a way to come out of the diplomatic isolation it had recently faced. Turkish leaders expected great support and sympathy from their US and NATO allies in the aftermath of the shooting down of the Russian jet. But there was no such response. The refugee and migrant crisis only further complicated Turkey’s relations with Europe.

Like a wounded tiger, Erdogan is now after scoring politically against Europe and he sees no better field for that game than that of Russia. Not only has his luster for the EU vanished, even leaving NATO has now become a subject.

The shooting down of the Russian jet cost Turkey $10 billion and a 43 percent decline in its trade ties with Russia.

Russia for its part is seeking to fill the vacuum left by the US, particularly its nonintervention in Syria and a similar one in Turkey. It is Putin’s dream to weaken NATO at any cost and by any means, and Turkey is a good start both as a NATO member and as a corridor for Russian natural gas.

Above all, Russia and Iran must find a political settlement in Syria and save themselves from the giant expenditure they have undertaken in support of Bashar Assad’s regime. For this they need Turkey, and Ankara is more than happy to become part of this new equation and act as an envoy of the West.

The heart of the Turkey-Russia-Iran meetings is: Iraq and Syria’s territorial integrity, a political settlement for Syria, hitting ISIS and the Nusra Front (now called Jabhat Fateh Al-Sham), strengthening economic ties -- especially the energy sector -- and the establishment of a joint defense mechanism.

As far as the Kurds are concerned, this means they will be pushed back to their state of several years ago. In Turkey the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) will be compelled to return to the peace process and quit its dream of self-rule and violence.

In Syria, the Kurdish region will be seen as an inseparable part of that country: the autonomous Cantons will be dashed, entered into the political process and likely included in the Geneva talks. As a first indicator of this scenario, Salih Muslim, head of the Democratic Union Party (PYD), has already told Russian media that he is ready for friendly ties with Turkey.

This new Middle East alliance will similarly impress upon the Kurdistan Region the integrity of Iraq, and through Turkey they will apply pressure for the postponement of the referendum and Kurdish independence project. There will be pressure on Erbil to resume ties with Baghdad and keep the country’s stability. In return, Turkish companies will find themselves invited to the world of post-ISIS reconstruction.

Well-placed sources have revealed that the Iranians had told a visiting KRG delegation that the new deal with Turkey is of the highest importance because they see that as the only remaining hope for stability in the region, and that they are also against an independence referendum and a Kurdish state.

Turkey is willing to help Iran keep Iraq’s territorial integrity and Iran would do the same in Syria.

In realpolitik terms, central governments -- weak though they may be -- still have a say in their countries’ affairs and internationally they will be preferred over regional and non-state actors.

The fruit of this new rapprochement shall be seen in the next six months, and its work has already kicked off. The Ankara-Moscow operation room is active and in daily contact. Iraqi and Turkish delegations have also already met twice in a European country to normalize ties.

All eyes are now trained on the next six months because, as Iran’s Zarif said in a tweet from Ankara: “More cooperation for peace is ahead.”

Friday, January 22, 2016

Iraqi Kurdistan pres Massoud Barzani: "Era of Sykes-Picot is over, time to redraw Middle East boundaries"


Iraqi Kurdistan pres Massoud Barzani: "Era of Sykes-Picot is over, time to redraw Middle East boundaries" . (Guardian).

The president of Iraq’s autonomous Kurdish north has called on global leaders to acknowledge that the Sykes-Picot pact that led to the boundaries of the modern Middle East has failed, and urged them to broker a new deal paving the way for a Kurdish state.

Massoud Barzani, who has led the troubled country’s Kurds for the past decade, said the international community had started to accept that Iraq and Syria in particular would never again be unified and that “compulsory co-existence” in the region had been proven wrong.


“I think that within themselves, [world leaders] have come to this conclusion that the era of Sykes-Picot is over,” Barzani told the Guardian. “Whether they say it or not, accept it or not, the reality on the ground is that. But as you know, diplomats are conservatives and they give their assessment in the late stages of things. And sometimes they can’t even keep up with developments.”

Barzani said regional and global powers now needed to enshrine a new pact that would protect communities in Iraq and Syria, where divisions have become entrenched on socio-religious and sectarian lines. “There must be a [new] agreement, it is important to see what type of agreement it is, what mechanism it can bring and rely on to formalise things, and what will be its status.

When the formalisation of that agreement will be is not known yet. It’s illogical to continue or insist on repeating a wrong experiment that was repeated for 100 years and is leading nowhere.” Hmmmm........If Barzani really believes Turkey will be his BFF in the long run, than he's a bigger fool than i thought. Read the full story here.

Iran Yesterday : Last year, a controversial US Congress bill was drafted, proposing the division of Iraq into three states and allows the Kurdish forces and the Sunni tribesmen to be armed directly without Baghdad’s approval.

The draft of the US annual defense bill, which was released on April 27, 2015 by the House Armed Services Committee, urged the US government to recognize separate Kurdish and Sunni states and provide them with at least 25 percent of the USD 715-million aid planned to be given to the Iraqi government to help it fight the ISIL terrorist group.

The draft bill also said the figure could even amount to 60 percent of the money, about USD 429 million. Hmmm........Anyone still wondering why the Turkish troops are in Iraq?

Thursday, January 21, 2016

IRGC Commander: Iran to Foil U.S. & Zionist Plot to Disintegrate Iraq, Syria.


IRGC Commander: Iran to Foil U.S. & Turkish Ottoman conquerors Zionist Plot to Disintegrate Iraq, Syria. (IH).

Speaking in a conference titled “Gaza, Symbol of Resistance” in Tehran on Wednesday, Major General Jafari emphasized that the plot by the Zionists and the US to disintegrate Iraq and Syria is part of a bigger scheme to harm Iran and its Islamic Revolution.

After failing to carry out their numerous plots against the Islamic Revolution, the Americans resorted to sowing discord among Muslim nations and regional countries in order to use the potentials of the Muslim world against the revolution, he said.

“We consider the scenario for splitting Iraq and Syria as an entirely Zionist and US plot and we will foil it,” the commander underlined.

“Today, no army is capable of standing against the movement of the Islamic Revolution,” Major General Jafari said, adding that the US and Israeli armies are fully aware that if they make a wrong move the movement will eradicate them.

Last year, a controversial US Congress bill was drafted, proposing the division of Iraq into three states and allows the Kurdish forces and the Sunni tribesmen to be armed directly without Baghdad’s approval.

The draft of the US annual defense bill, which was released on April 27, 2015 by the House Armed Services Committee, urged the US government to recognize separate Kurdish and Sunni states and provide them with at least 25 percent of the USD 715-million aid planned to be given to the Iraqi government to help it fight the ISIL terrorist group.

The draft bill also said the figure could even amount to 60 percent of the money, about USD 429 million. Hmmm........Anyone still wondering why the Turkish troops are in Iraq?

Quoting materials from Iran Front Page is permitted only if the source is mentioned by name.

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Iraqi FM says could use military option against 'Neo Ottoman Conqueror' Turkey if forced.


Iraqi FM says could use military option against 'Neo Ottoman Conqueror' Turkey if forced. (ET).

Iraq’s foreign minister said on Wednesday it could resort to military means if forced to defend itself from what it says is an intrusion of Turkish forces into part of its north.

Turkey said it had deployed a force protection unit earlier this month to the area due to heightened security risks near a camp where its troops were training an Iraqi militia to fight Islamic State insurgents. Ankara acknowledged that there had been a “miscommunication” with Baghdad over the deployment.

Iraqi security forces have had only a limited presence in Nineveh province where the camp is located since collapsing in June 2014 in the face of a lightning advance by Islamic State.

Foreign Minister Ibrahim al Jaafari said Iraq was committed to exhausting peaceful diplomatic avenues to avoid a crisis with its northern neighbour Turkey, but insisted that all options remained open.

“If there is no other solution but this (military), then we will adopt this solution. If we are forced to fight and defend our sovereignty and riches, we will be forced to fight,” he told reporters in Baghdad. Read the full story here.

Video - Iraqi hearing on 'hostage taking' of Turkish consul: "how was the Consul kidnapped? A: he was not kidnapped."



Video - Iraqi hearing on 'hostage taking' of Turkish consul: "how was the Consul kidnapped? A: he was not kidnapped.".




Hmmmm.......Seems my gut feeling a year ago was right, ISIS was working with Turkey the goal was Kurdish Oil. (See Below).

It has come to light that the ISIS terror organization and its supporters planned details of the attack on Mosul in a hotel in Istanbul under the protection of the Turkish Intelligence Organization between the 28 February and 2 March. The militants reportedly met in Jordan’s capital Amman on the 1 June and invaded Mosul a week later.


I found my comment back at the time of the release of the kidnapped staff:
Related: MHP MP: Turkish consulate staff held as hostages by ISIS will be used as human shields in military ops.
  Turkish hostages seized by ISIS in Iraq freed. - live updates

Thursday, December 24, 2015

Arab League Denounces 'Neo Ottoman conqueror' Turkey's Troop Deployment in Iraq.


Arab League Denounces 'Neo Ottoman conqueror' Turkey's Troop Deployment in Iraq. (Naharnet).

Arab League chief Nabil al-Arabi condemned on Thursday a Turkish military deployment in Iraq as a violation of international law, at a meeting called by Baghdad to pressure Ankara on withdrawing the forces.

"The Turkish military incursion into Iraq is a clear violation of international law and Iraqi sovereignty," Arabi said at the start of the foreign ministers meeting in the Cairo headquarters of the pan-Arab bloc.

Turkey announced on Saturday that it had begun withdrawing troops in a bid to de-escalate a bitter row with Baghdad and following a call from U.S. President Barack Obama.


Earlier this month, Turkey deployed troops to a base in Nineveh province where it has a long-running training program for forces battling the Islamic State jihadist group.

Saturday, December 19, 2015

Anschluss - 'Disintegration of Iraq Major Objective of Turkish Invasion'.


Anschluss - 'Disintegration of Iraq Major Objective of Turkish Invasion'. (RT).

Turkey's invasion into northern Iraq could well be part of a plan to split Iraq into three separate states, undertaken with the approval of the US, while the recent Daesh attack on the Turkish troops plays right into the hands of Ankara, according to Russian political analyst and Middle East expert Semyon Bagdasarov.

On Wednesday, Daesh militants fired rockets at a base in northern Iraq, as they launched a wave of attacks against Kurdish forces.


The Turkish Armed Forces said its soldiers returned fire, with four of them sustaining minor injuries.
The expert says that it could well have been a planned act by Ankara.
“In fact, it is all about [the city of] Mosul — who takes Mosul and kicks Daesh out. The Turks want control over it. Well, in the worst case, jointly with Iraqi Kurdish Peshmerga forces. To be more exact, with the Iraqi Kurdistan Democratic Party, led and controlled by Masoud Barzani, with whom the Turks, altogether, have a good relationship."

Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu also said that Wednesday attack on its Iraq base by Daesh militants “justified the recent military deployment”.

Bagdasarov therefore said that it was, in fact, “an occupation of a territory of a different state” which Iraq is unable to withstand.

“I think that the decision to bring the Turkish military into the Iraqi territory has been agreed upon with the US. And America's current inaction speaks volumes. Then right after it there emerged information that US, Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan decided to meet first in Ankara and then in Erbil to discuss the future of Iraq. Without Baghdad, without the central government. And it is easy to figure out what future for Iraq they foresee.” Hmmm........I've been saying for moths it's all about the oil........since day one. Read the full story here.

Wednesday, April 8, 2015

How Kurdish oil Money flows to Turkish shoe boxes.


How Kurdish oil Money flows to Turkish shoe boxes. (SlemaniTimes).

People close to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan are the beneficiaries of a lucrative oil deal signed between Ankara and Arbil that has laid the framework for the transfer of Kurdish oil, as the company granted the exclusive right to the transfer through Turkey is run by a former deputy candidate from the ruling party and an ex-official from Çalık Group, a company known to have ties with the ruling party.

Furthermore, according to a book written by the Hürriyet daily's Washington correspondent, Tolga Tanış, Powertrans, the company that was given the exclusive license to carry and trade Kurdish oil by the cabinet shortly after its foundation in 2011, is run by Berat Albayrak, who is married to Erdoğan's daughter, Esra Albayrak.

Who are the people behind Powertrans? 

Well, Turkey has sought an answer to this question since the establishment of the company. According to trade registry data, the general manager of the company is a former deputy candidate from the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) Ahmet Sadi Güngör, who also previously worked in the Petroleum Trade Coordination department of Çalık Group. For this reason it is claimed that the company's secret partner is Çalık group.

Players making profit from oil deal between Arbil and Baghdad not known.

On Dec. 29, 2013, a new relationship between Turkey and Kurdistan began. On that day, Ankara and Arbil signed a series of agreements that had been in development for some time. The agreements, valid for 50 years, regulate the delivery of Kurdish oil and gas to the Ceyhan district of Adana, products which will then be sold on the international market. As expected, Baghdad fiercely opposed the deal, accusing Arbil of “being in pursuit of independence.” The Maliki government also accused Turkey of “interfering in the sovereignty rights of Iraq,” but by then the genie was out of the bottle, and Ankara added new agreements to the deal in March 2014.

Access to Kurdish oil was indeed a great opportunity for Turkey and the region. But things did not go well. A transparent oversight mechanism open to international monitoring announced by Energy Minister Taner Yıldız was never established.

Today it is unknown who buys Kurdish oil and who then sells it to whom at what prices, or how Turkey gains from the trade. It was only after Baghdad's appeal to an international court of arbitration that people learned the names of the local and foreign companies selling Kurdish oil on international markets.

Due to the failure to establish a transparent mechanism to oversee the sales of oil extracted in northern Iraq, little is known about the buyers and sellers of the oil, extracted by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), the price at which it is sold, or what Turkey gains as a gateway country for the Kurdish oil to be sold on international markets. The oil extraction capacity of the Kurdish region rose to 400,000 barrels per day as of January, while 150,000 of those barrels are sold on the domestic market.

The rest is flown to the Ceyhan pipeline in line with the agreement signed with Baghdad, while a portion of this oil is given to some oil extraction companies in order to pay off Kurdistan's prior debts.

According to information given by the Vice President of Arbil Chamber of Commerce and Industry Mele Mecid, the foreign companies and the Turkish companies extracting oil take 30 percent of all extracted oil in order to cover debts Arbil is unable to pay in cash. Oil companies then sell 30 percent of the oil they extracted on international markets at prices they determine.

On the other hand, no transparency has been achieved on the identity of the bank where these petro-dollars will be deposited, an issue which Ankara, Arbil and Baghdad have been negotiating.

It had been announced that the parties had agreed on state-run Turkish bank Halkbank. Yıldız even announced in October 2014 that $700 million had been deposited in Halkbank. However, it is still a mystery how much revenue has been made by the sale of Kurdish oil today.

Due to regional circumstances, there is no mechanism in the KRG to monitor and oversee oil sales. The only functioning supervising authority is the Committee on Natural Resources in the Kurdistan Parliament. The committee obtains information from Minister of Natural Resources Ashti Hawrami periodically.

In an interview with Sunday's Zaman, committee head Sherko Cevdet provided information about the official data and the process regarding oil sales.

“Kurdish oil is sold at low prices due the economic crisis in the Kurdish region. As of January, 34 million barrels of oil were sold, which is equal to $2.5 billion,” he said. “Oil companies and some intermediaries are making big money. No one wants them to be disclosed,” he continues.

Cevdet added there are some 30 companies from 19 countries operating in the Kurdish region and it is difficult to make oil sales transparent and place the sales under supervision.

According to him, in order to make the sales of Kurdish oil more transparent, the disagreement between Baghdad and Arbil should be overcome. But there is little hope for a resolution of the crisis in the near future. When asked, Arbil Chamber of Commerce and Industry Vice President Mele Mecid said, “What is the role of Ankara in the sale of Kurdish oil?” He said Turkey has a vital role in the sale of Kurdish oil after the energy agreement between the KRG and Turkey, which fundamentally changed the oil trade.

“There used to be tankers which shipped oil through land and a railway until the deal was made with Turkey. After the agreement, a limitation was placed on the trade made through tankers because Kurdish oil now flows directly to Ceyhan,” he says.

“The sale of Kurdish oil is under the control of the Turkish Energy Ministry. The ministry knows how much oil was sold, who bought it and how much money was deposited because the agreement stipulates so. On the subject of private companies, well, every government can grant some privileges. Turkey could have given privileges to some companies as well,” he added. Delay in money transfers with Halkbank

“It is true that there is a bank account of Kurdistan in Halkbank. All the petrodollars used to be deposited there. But now not all the money is accumulated in Halkbank. Two new accounts were opened in the US and Germany as money transfers was not convenient with Halkbank. Money is now being transferred more rapidly. Halkbank was transferring money slowly due to a shortage of cash. Because of that, new accounts have been opened,” says Cevdet.

Even Kurdish Parliament does not know the fate of the money deposited in Halkbank. “We don't know how much was withdrawn from the money accumulated in Halkbank. We don't know how much interest rate the money yielded as well,” Cevdet said. Iraq possesses 8.7 percent of oil reserves in the world, which is equal to 143 billion barrels. Around 30 percent of Iraqi oil reserves are located in the Kurdish region.

A total of 550,000 barrels of oil a day flow into Ceyhan from the Kurdish region and Kirkuk.

Powertrans: Mysterious company granted privilege in Kurdish oil Return to the biggest question regarding Kurdish oil: Which Turkish firms are participating in the sale of oil from northern Iraq? Is Powertrans, which was founded by businessmen close to President Erdoğan, selling Kurdish oil from Ceyhan to international markets as claimed?

The knowledge of Kurdish authorities and the businessmen involved in the oil business in the region regarding those who are selling the oil is limited. This is due to the fact that the procedure on the sale of oil was not institutionalized at Kurdish administrative level.

In addition to Natural Resources Minister Ashti Hawrami and Prime Minister Nachirvan Barzani, only a few have thorough knowledge on the subject. Furthermore, the Kurdish authorities are not interested in those who sell oil in Ceyhan because of the terms of the agreement. Nonetheless, the officials Sunday's Zaman spoke to say the answer to the question is in the deal signed on November of 2013.

Interestingly, before Kurdish oil flowed into Ceyhan, debates on who would sell the oil had come onto the agenda of Parliament.

Republican People's Party (CHP) deputy Aytun Çıray in a parliamentary inquiry had asked the energy minister what the agreement with Arbil featured, who was granted the license and privilege to transport Kurdish oil and, if it was true as claimed, according to which criteria Powertrans was given the privilege. However, no answer provided, as expected.

In response to a parliamentary question posed by CHP deputy Mevlüt Dudu on May of 2013, the ministry acknowledged that Powertrans had been given license to ship Kurdish oil from the Mediterranean to world markets.

But the questions asking which companies besides Powertrans had applied to transport the oil and according to which criteria the selection had been made were left unanswered, though it constituted an outright breach of the Constitution and Parliament bylaw.

Today no one, including Parliament, knows the terms of the agreement made with Arbil. Why?

Because the KRG is not a sovereign state and thus the agreement made with it is not considered similar to agreements signed between states. It is qualified as an agreement based on terms of private law.

It also means the agreement did not require Parliament's approval. The monitoring of an agreement worth billions of dollars was thus circumvented on a technical legal pretext.

On the other hand, Powertrans' inclusion in the agreement is shrouded in mystery. According to data obtained by Sunday's Zaman from KRG officials, Turkey founded an off-shore company to extract and sell Kurdish oil. The agreement with the KRG on the production of oil was made via this company.

The partners of the company that will operate in the six fields in the KRG include the Turkish Petroleum Corporation (TPAO) and the Turkish Petroleum International Company (TPIC) -- nothing wrong here. But according to claims, the company also has domestic and foreign partners that are subjected to private law terms. Could these partners include Powertrans? It's highly likely. What is certain is that Powertrans has the privilege to buy and sell Kurdish oil flowing to Ceyhan.

Powertrans not responding to allegations

Though Powertrans has been at the center of debates for some time, no official explanation has been provided by company officials. Our request for a meeting was not accepted by officials staying at a plaza in Maslak.

The officials of the company, who left our questions unanswered, said “According to our business contract, even a general manager might be fired if he provides information about the company,” and upon our insistence, said if we sent questions via e-mail, they would notify the headquarters in Singapore and we would then be contacted by the headquarters.


  • But two weeks have passed and no response has been provided by Powertrans to the below questions: 
  • -Does Powertrans export northern Iraq oil? 
  • In which other regions and countries does the firm have a presence? 
  • -Is Powertrans the only firm entitled to export Kurdistan's oil flowing to the Kirkuk-Yumurtalık pipeline? 
  • -How much of the sales of 34 million barrels of oil since June of 2014 was done by Powertrans? 
  • -What is the duration of the privilege granted by the Customs and Trade Ministry to Powertrans to sell oil? 
  • -Is the money obtained by Powertrans after oil sales deposited in the Halkbank account of the KRG? 
  • -Does your company have a partnership with the Çalık Group?


My questions may solve the mystery in the sales of Kurdish oil in Ceyhan to a certain extent. But the claims of illegality and fraud about the oil trade have not been satisfactorily explained because the answers should be provided by the Energy Ministry and the government that should monitor and provide transparency on the agreement. Hmmmm.........'Corruption-R-Us'.


Related:

'Neo Ottoman conqueror' Turkey a guarantor for energy peace in Iraq between Baghdad and Erbil.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Turkish MP: there are 2000 Turkish special forces embedded in ISIS.


Turkish MP: there are 2000 Turkish special forces embedded in ISIS. HT: Kurdish Question.

Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) MP Demir Celik stated in a press conference in Parliament that the majority of ISIS’ fighting force was formed of around two thousand Turkish Special Force officers, who in the 1990s were cutting off the noses and ears of Kurdish (PKK) fighters.

“Hundreds of years ago states would fight each other but now their subcontracted organisations are fighting on their behalf,” remarked Celik, before adding, “the war in the Middle East is not fate, the war that is being imposed on us by imperialist forces must be put to an end.”

Stating that it was not clear who was friend or foe at a time when all political relationships rested on vested interests and that today’s friend could be tomorrow’s foe, Celik said, “Turkey has taken a side in this dirty and complicated war. The USA has been a spectator to developments in Syria for the past four years and has only intervened at the moment ISIS spun out of control.

However Turkey’s silence on the matter has yet to be accounted for. We want to know why Turkey is still silent on this matter. We have received information from reliable sources and this information clearly shows that the developments are contrary to what the AKP government has been telling us.” Celik said:

“It is being said that there are different reasons for the AKP’s silence surrounding the 49 Turkish hostages taken by ISIS from the Turkish Consulate in Mosul in July. 

At the top of the list of reasons is that the AKP has become involved in secret operations and relations and has engaged in the war in Syria; this is backed up by the trucks that were upheld following the December operations (by the Gulen Movement against the AKP) and contained military equipment and arms, which were on there way to Syria.
The group being presented to us as ISIS is not just formed of jihadist militants. We have information that the majority of ISIS’s fighting forces are formed of Turkish Special Forces who were cutting off the ears and noses of Kurdish fighters in the 1990s. 
These Special Forces have been staying in hotels and safe houses in Mosul for months and have travelled from Mosul to Makhmour, from Makhmour to Sinjar and are in Kobane now commanding and determining the strategy of ISIS. There are said to be around two thousand of them.

We all know of the train-line between Turkey and Syria. Our sources have told us that these Turkish Special Forces are being provided tanks, artillery and missiles through this train-line.

The real reason for Turkey not joining the coalition against ISIS is that the Turkish state wants to prevent and stop the revolution in Rojava (Northern Syria); even though they might seem willing to resolve the Kurdish issue democratically within Turkey, the Turkish state’s real intention is to resolve it militarily.”




Thursday, July 3, 2014

Saudi Arabia deploys 30,000 soldiers to border with Iraq.


Saudi Arabia deploys 30,000 soldiers to border with Iraq. (Taz).
The world's top oil exporter shares an 800-km (500-mile) border with Iraq, where Islamic State insurgents and other Sunni Muslim militant groups seized towns and cities in a lightning advance last month, Reuters reported.
King Abdullah has ordered all necessary measures to protect the kingdom against potential "terrorist threats", state news agency SPA reported on Thursday.

The Dubai-based al-Arabiya said on its website that Saudi troops fanned into the border region after Iraqi government forces abandoned positions, leaving the Saudi and Syrian frontiers unprotected.

The satellite channel said it had obtained a video showing some 2,500 Iraqi soldiers in the desert area east of the Iraqi city of Karbala after pulling back from the border.

An officer in the video aired by al-Arabiya said that the soldiers had been ordered to quit their posts without justification. The authenticity of the recording could not immediately be verified.More here.

Military Intervention, Iranian Style.



Military Intervention, Iranian Style. HT: UskowiOnIran.

Available at the “War on the Rocks” blog is a well thought out piece on Iranian military thinking, entitled "Military Intervention, Iranian Style." Below are highlights:

Two decisive military experiences in the 1980s have helped shape Iran’s approach to military intervention and its very strong preference for covert operations. The first is the Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988), which is arguably the defining experience of the Islamic Republic, on par with the revolution itself. While Iran’s conventional military achieved its primary objective of not conceding an inch of Iranian soil to Iraq using overt operations, it was far less successful in projecting power into Iraq, and the stalemated war ultimately cost hundreds of thousands of casualties and hundreds of billions of dollars. Critically, Iran learned the limits of its conventional military power, constrained by technological and industrial shortcomings and international balance-of-power dynamics.
The second experience was attempts by the Movements Branch, the predecessor of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Jerusalem (Qods) Force, to create resistance movements across the Middle East, especially Hezbollah in Lebanon in the early 1980s, and helped shape an evolving template which has been used widely elsewhere since. This second experience has left a greater imprint on Iranian military interventions due to its relative military success, cost-effectiveness, and deniability. 
COMMENTARY: This accurate assessment is instructive, given Iran’s large ground force mobilization and subsequent restraint during the crisis on its eastern border in 1998, and the current crisis in Iraq where reports indicate Iran has massed a large conventional military ground force of ten divisions on its western border.
With this background in mind, what is Iran’s approach to military interventions? It typically follows three basic principles.
1. Leave a light footprint
2. Partner with indigenous forces and use unconventional warfare
3. Create broad non-sectarian coalitions
COMMENTARY: Sabet elaborates on each of these three identified principles.  Readers are encouraged to read his piece in full, by clicking HERE.

Note: Farzan Sabet is a doctoral candidate in international history at the Graduate Institute, Geneva.

Wednesday, July 2, 2014

IRGC-AF intervention in the 2014 Northern Iraq Offensive , Iran providing pilots.


                                      Video of IRGC-AF delivery to Iraq (Iraqi media)


IRGC-AF intervention in the 2014 Northern Iraq Offensive , Iran providing pilots. HT: UskowiOnIran.

IRGC-AF has transfered all it's operational Su-25 type close air support aircraft to Iraq to be employed against ISIL and it's allies during the ongoing 2014 Northern Iraq Offensive.
The seven Su-25 type aircraft are now deployed at Imam Ali bin Abi Talib Air Force Base (ICAO: ORTL / LID: TAL), along with recently delivered ex-RuAF Su-25 type aircraft.


Three of the seven IRGC-AF aircraft are 15-2459 (Su-25UBK delivered from Ulan-Udeh Aviation Plant and serviced by Georgian technicians in January 2003), 15-2451 (overhauled and updated by Pars Aviation Maintenance Repair and Overhaul facility in 2011) and 15-2456 (overhauled and updated by Pars in 2012).

One additional Su-25K (15-2450) is said to be scheduled for future delivery to Iraq following overhaul and update by Pars. [source: Airliners.net and ACIG.com member]

It is said IRGC-AF transferred aircraft (three two-seater Su-25UBK and four single-seat Su-25KM) are operated by four IqAF and ten IRGC-AF pilots. It is further said combat operations commenced 01JUL14. [source: ACIG.com member]

The aircraft transfer and support contract is said to provide Iran's IRGC-AF with six Sukhoi Su-30K multirole combat aircraft previously designated for Iraq. It has been further speculated future IRGC-AF Su-30 aircraft will be deployed at BuMusa ("Abu Musa") Island. [source: ACIG.com member]

The aircraft transfer deal appears in effect with American acquiescence or approval.

There are also indications reported by Aviationist blog and "Jassem Al Salami" at WIB blog that Iranian combat aviation forces have possibly conducted bombing missions at Baiji on 21JUN14.

COMMENTARY: IRGC-AF participation may appear similar in ways to American Farm Gate operations during early U.S. military efforts in the Vietnam War. As such, it's possible these IRGC-AF flown and/or assisted combat missions could likewise be the harbinger of ever greater commitments by Iran, as occurred with American military involvement in Vietnam following the 1964 Gulf of Tonkin incident.Read and see (Photo's) the full story here.

Monday, June 30, 2014

Russian AF delivery of Su-25 combat aircraft to Iraqi Air force.


Russian AF delivery of Su-25 combat aircraft to Iraqi Air force. HT: UskowiOnIran.


RuAF delivery of Sukhoi Su-25 "Frogfoot" close air support aircraft to IqAF on 29JUN14.


IqAF Su-25 combat aircraft presently undergoing assembly at Imam Ali bin Abi Talib Air Force Base (ICAO: ORTL / LID: TAL), located 20 kilometers southwest of Nasiriyah.


Russian sources claim initial five Su-25s rushed through ‘routine maintenance’ at ARZ 121 / Kubinka before shipment to IqAF. Also it's rumored Iraq's previous request for Iran to return Su-25 aircraft now in IRGC-AF inventory was declined, presumably based on Iranian defense needs and possibly operational condition.


It's said current IqAF pilot roster includes four individuals with experience flying the Sukhoi Su-25, however it's also said IqAF currently lacks trained ground crew personnel for this type.



Claim indicates number of Su-25 aircraft to be delivered to IqAF at twelve. Above 29 RED prior to delivery at ARZ 121 / Kubinka. Russian sources claim above aircraft of Su-25K specification. Iraqi sources are also claiming a forthcoming delivery of two Sukhoi Su-24 "Fencer" all-weather attack aircraft

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Has the Iranian Air Force now (quasi-officially) intervened in Iraq?



Has the Iranian Air Force now (quasi-officially) intervened in Iraq? HT: Khalijisec

The video above,  show that Iraq has received Su-25 ground attack jets, purportedly from Russia and Belarus. For those who are not in the know, the Su-25 is a close support aircraft which is designed to primarily engage targets on the ground. More info on the Su-25 can be found here. 
It has not received the Su-24, as reported previously by news agencies, including Russia Today. The last time the Iraqis had the Su-25 in their inventory was in 2003. 
If there are any Iraqi pilots who still fly, or ground-crews that still work, then they will have almost certainly completely forgotten their trade. Pilots need to refresh their skills and fly many hours per year, pilots in the US fly around 120 hours per year, while French pilots fly 180 hours per year. 
De facto, the Iraqis have no combat-ready pilots. One Iraqi military officer has said that any former Iraqi pilots are now too old to fly them.
So the Iraqis don’t have any pilots. So, where do they get pilots from? Ideally, from a country that flies the Su-25 of course. Which countries fly the Su-25? Lets go through a list:
Angola, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Chad, D.R Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Ethiopia, Georgia, Gambia, >> Iran <<, Ivory coast, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, North Korea, Peru, Russia, Slovakia, Sudan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan
Hey, what do you know? Iran just happens to have the Su-25 in its inventory. The Iranians have also been kind enough to offer the Iraqis back the 130 planes that Saddam scattered into Iran to avoid American targeting in 1990-91. 
The Su-25 has also been very active, which mean.. Bingo ! Iranian pilots are getting enough hours with the Su-25, meaning they can fly them in combat operations.
Back in 2012, two Iranian Su-25s fired on a US Predator Drone. There’s been enough confidence with the Su-25 that the Iranians have also fielded them during air shows. But what makes the Su-25s special is that they’re the elite aircraft of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Air Corps, which is part of the IRGC. Yes, that IRGC which is fighting in Syria. So effectively now, it seems that the IRGC has prepared itself to intervene on the ground in Iraq, as it has done in Syria, with no doubt major consequences for the stability of Iraq.

Below, in Iranian service: IRGC-AF Sukhoi Su-25UBK "Frogfoot" close air support aircraft



Related: 

"Yes We Can" - First batch of Russian jets arrives in Iraq.

Statement of Iran returning aircraft to Iraq, rumors of IRIAF ground attack training.

Saturday, June 28, 2014

"Yes We Can" - First batch of Russian jets arrives in Iraq.




"Yes We Can" - First batch of Russian jets arrives in Iraq. (RT).

“The fighter jets landed today in the morning on different military airfields,” MP Abbas al-Bayati told Iraqi media.

The official spokesperson for the Iraqi Ministry of Defense, Mohammed al-Askari, also confirmed the information, Al Iraqiya TV channel reported.

The fighter jets will be stationed at an airbase located in the southern part of the country, PressTV reported, citing military sources.

Earlier this week, Prime Minister Maliki revealed that Iraq purchased jets from Russia and Belarus in order to help its fight against Sunni militants from the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS/ISIL).
At the same time, Maliki criticized the US for taking too long to deliver on its own contract after Iraq purchased F-16 jets from America.

On Friday, Iraqi Air Force Commander Hameed al-Maliki confirmed the shipment of MI-35 and MI-28 Russian helicopter fighters to "keep the momentum" in the attacks against ISIS, Ruptly reported.

The commander said that he signed three contracts with the Russians and stressed the importance of the choppers as "excellent anti-terrorism weapons."

The radical Sunni Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS or ISIL) has taken large parts of the country's north from the Shia government.

Hundreds of Iraqi soldiers have been killed by insurgents since the Sunni militants began their offensive on June 9, according to Iraqi forces.


The United Nations says more than 1,000 people – mainly civilians – have been killed during the surge thus far.Hmmm....Which pilots have experience on Prussian planes.......yes you guessed it Iranian. 

Friday, June 27, 2014

Iraq has purchased six Russian Su-30K, which are being repaired in Belarus.


Iraq has purchased six Russian Su-30K, which are being repaired in Belarus. HT: UskowiOnIran.

According to Russian defense media source RIA:

Director of the Center for Analysis of World Arms Trade Igor Korotchenko suggested that Iraq has purchased six Russian Su-30K, which is being repaired in Belarus.
"Probably, it is about six Su-30K, which are available in Belarus 558 aircraft repair plant in Baranovichi," - said Korochenko RIA Novosti on Thursday.
He explained that it is part of a batch of 18 Russian Su-30K, which were returned after the operation in the Indian Air Force in accordance with the terms of the contract and passed on repair and restoration of the Belarus plant.
He suggested that in addition to these aircraft, Iraq could also be interested in the purchase of MiG-29 aircraft and attack helicopters Mi-24, already in operation or in Russia or Belarus.
COMMENTARY: Earlier in the week, there were rumors and reports that Iraq had requested combat aircraft that decades before escaped to Iran during the Iran-Iraq War. If accurate, this writer had interpreted this development in terms of Iran potentially providing military aircraft to Iraq in Iraqi markings, using Iranian air and ground crews. Such arrangements would in ways be similar, historically, to American aircraft using Republic of Vietnam markings in the Farm Gate operations, during America's early involvement in the Vietnam War.

It is assumed that should these Russian aircraft materialize in the time frame indicated by Iraq's PM, such foreign-operated arrangements appear likely. Hmmm....Great which Iranian pilots will fly them? :)

Related: 

Statement of Iran aircraft being returned to Iraq, rumors of IRIAF ground attack training


Tuesday, June 24, 2014

Hezbollah: Persian Gulf Arab states will regret funding ISIL


Hezbollah: Persian Gulf Arab states will regret funding ISIL. (ABNA).
The head of Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc says the Lebanese resistance movement will confront the sponsors of the al-Qaeda offshoot group, the so-called Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) at home, after Iranian President Hassan Rouhani had warned Persian Gulf Arab states that funding terrorism will cause a backlash.
“We know how to confront your plan in its own home, and how to topple all your delusions,” said MP Mohammad Raad at Hezbollah’s Monday ceremony in Deir al-Zahrani, according to the National News Agency.

Raad did not clarify who would carry out the pledged “confrontation.”

He accused the funders of ISIL of using the terrorist group after their plans had failed in Syria and Iraq.
“It will come back to you when our people in Iraq overthrow it,” said Raad, warning parties who are investing in ISIL.

Rouhani had made a similar warning Sunday, calling on the “petrodollar states” to stop funding terrorism, specifically ISIL, or else they should expect to become its next target.

“I advise Muslim countries that support the terrorists with their petrodollars to stop,” he told an Iranian news agency Sunday.

Rouhani didn’t specify the Gulf countries he was addressing, but Iranian media had widely accused Saudi Arabia and Qatar of funding Sunni jihadist groups.

“Tomorrow you will be targeted … by these savage terrorists. Wash your hands of killing and the killing of Muslims,” said Rouhani.

The United States, a long-time ally of Saudi Arabia, also condemned any funding that might reach the terrorist organization’s hands.

ISIL is “a threat not only to Iraq, but to the entire region,” said US Secretary of State John Kerry in Cairo Sunday, warning against the funding of activities that could end up bolstering the group.


“There is no safety margin whatsoever in funding a group like ISIL,” Kerry said, “and we particularly discourage individuals in the region who may have been sending money through some illicit charity or through various back-channel initiatives under the guise this is for the general welfare and benefit for people who have been displaced, but then that money finds its way into the hands of terrorists.” Hmmm......'Pass the popcorn.'

Statement of Iran returning aircraft to Iraq, rumors of IRIAF ground attack training.


Statement of Iran returning aircraft to Iraq, rumors of IRIAF ground attack training. HT: UskowionIran.

According to Middle East Monitor:
A spokesman for the Office of the Adjutant General of the Iraqi armed forces has said that his country has returned 130 military aircraft to Iraq, which were held in Iran for more than 20 years. General Qassim Atta explained in a televised press statement that the Iranian authorities have equipped the aircraft with "sophisticated weapons".
"The planes," said Atta, "will participate in the battles against ISIS to liberate the city of Mosul from its control."
Iraq transferred an undisclosed number of fighter and civilian jets to Iran just before the US-led coalition forces launched air strikes in 1991 following the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait.
Groups of Sunni Arabs, led by ISIS, control a number of Iraqi cities in the north, east and west of the country. Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki has described those groups as "extremist terrorists". Sunni figures, however, claim that what is happening is a Sunni tribal revolt against the discriminatory policies pursued by the Shiite government of Al-Maliki.
Commentary: Rumors of late have have been swirling of Iraqi and Iranian defense officials during the past few days conducting talks in Baghdad, with Iraq requesting Iran provide close air support (CAS) missions in the war against ISIL/allies, and even that Iran return Iraqi combat aircraft flown to sancturary in Iran diring the Persian Gulf War.

There are also indications that IRIAF aircraft have recently been engaging in observable, frequent  ground attack training missions, including assemblage of all available MiG-29 types at Tabriz / Shahid Fakouri TAB 2, practicing in the attack role with air-lauched munitions.

Additionally, there are rumors of IRIAF Su-24 MK attack aircraft of 72nd TFS making frequent training missions equiped with B-8M1 type rocket pods firing S-8 type rockets, and dropping FAB type bombs. Primary onjective of training is said related to IRIAF exercise slated for September 2014, with secondary objective in readiness to counter potential ISIL incursion into Iranian territory.

It appears the Baghdad govenrment is signalling closer military ties with Iran given any American reluctance for direct military intervention in the CAS role. That said, it must now be admiited that future reflagging of IRIAF combat aviation assets with IqAF markings engaging in combat missions over Iraq can no longer be entirely discounted.

Video - Showing ISIS celebrating the fall of Iraq's main oil refinery.

Syrian Kurdish leader: Turkey turns blind eye to ISIS


Syrian Kurdish leader: Turkey turns blind eye to ISIS. HT: AlMonitor.

In the interview that follows, Salih Muslim answered Al-Monitor’s questions via Skype:

Al-Monitor: Did Turkey support ISIS in the past?

Muslim: What do you mean in the past? ISIS itself says it gets Turkey’s support. Its media gives details of how they get assistance from Turkey and how their militants reach them via Turkey.

Al-Monitor: In your recent interviews you claimed that if not the government, the “deep state” of Turkey is assisting ISIS. There is a difference.

Muslim: True. The Turkish state denies that it is helping ISIS. Whatever happens, it happens "without our knowledge.” But ISIS contradicts that. For example last week they said, “Two militants joined us through Gaziantep-Karkamis crossing.” I don’t think they would lie. Why should they?

Al-Monitor: Let’s assume that Turkey turns a blind eye to ISIS activities in Turkey. If so, why did ISIS occupy the Turkish consulate and take all of its staff hostage? Isn’t this a contradiction?

Muslim: I don’t know why they did it. Perhaps to assure the hostages' safety. Perhaps they were seized without their knowledge.

Al-Monitor: Without whose knowledge?

Muslim: Some groups within ISIS could have done it without informing the others. For their safety or to blackmail Turkey not to alter its moderate approach to ISIS. It could well be an agreed scenario. There are such possibilities.

Al-Monitor: But Turkey says, “These (things) happen without our knowledge. We don’t support ISIS or any other armed group.” Don't you believe this?

Muslim: No, I don’t.

Al-Monitor: Why not?

Muslim: Let’s assume it is not the official state that is assisting ISIS, but the “deep state” or other elements. In that case, why don’t Turkish officials investigate the evidence, documents and other data we have been providing to them? Why don’t they enter into solidarity with us against ISIS? There are so-called humanitarian relief organizations in Turkey that help ISIS. The Turkish government tells us millions of tourists come to Turkey and they can’t check all [of them] one by one. But we say, “We have proof. Those organizations meet them at the airport, take them to the border and across to Syria.” We have said all this but they don’t take action.

Al-Monitor: In short, are you saying that although Turkey may not be actually helping ISIS, it turns a blind eye to its activities as well as to its supporters in Turkey?

Muslim: Yes, that is what we are saying.

Al-Monitor: Can this war suck in Turkey?

Muslim: Of course it can. Turkey is next door, You won’t know what ISIS has in mind. If they don’t like Muslims in Syria and slaughter them, imagine what they can do to the ones in Turkey.Read the full interview here.

Hmmm......I'm glad someone finally speaks up.


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